Covington v Masdival is UFC 272 highlight

UFC BETTING PREVIEW: UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal

It’s a good old-fashioned grudge match this weekend out in Nevada at UFC 272, as old friends turned rivals face off.

Colby Covington and Jorge Masvidal headline a numbered UFC card in a non-title fight, which if you follow the UFC, you’ll know is something of an unusual occurrence.

Not even a ‘BMF’ belt or anything of its ilk is up for grabs in this one, but it doesn’t take away from the anticipation for what has become a heated rivalry, with plenty of needle. Let’s take a closer look at the main event, as well as the rest of the main card…

 

Colby Covington (16-3) vs. Jorge Masvidal (35-15) – Welterweight

Our main event looks set to be a tale of two styles, as the high-pressure output of Covington comes up against the one shot, knockout power of Masvidal (our featured image, above).

There’s a couple of things we can assume about this one. It’s unlikely Colby will come out and enter an all-out, stand-up war with Jorge; and it’s even more unlikely that ‘Gamebred’ will have any chance of out-grappling ‘Chaos’.

Covington is of course no slouch in the stand-up department, but a lot of his success is driven by the threat of his wrestling, and the unrelenting pressure he applies to his opponents. But as we’ve seen before from Masvidal, notably against Ben Askren, shooting in for takedowns can spell doom.

Both men come into this off the back of two losses to UFC Welterweight Champion Kamaru Usman – Colby with a victory over Tyron Woodley sandwiched in between those defeats – so both will be desperate to get back in the win column.

If Masvidal comes out early and throws the kitchen sink at Covington he’s definitely in with a shout, but if this one goes the distance, it’s extremely difficult to see anything other than a Covington points victory (EVS).

Covington 3/10, Masvidal 13/5

 

Rafael dos Anjos (30-13) vs. Renato Moicano (16-4-1) – Catchweight

Rafael dos Anjos’ run at Welterweight was promising early, but ultimately turned out to be fruitless, thus the Brazilian returned to Lightweight in his last fight.

That return saw a win over Paul Felder in November of 2020, and he hasn’t fought since due to injuries and other fight-making issues.

He was originally scheduled to go against Rafael Fiziev in this one in the ‘Rafael Derby’ but visa issues then a positive COVID test for Fiziev left it dead in the water.

So up steps Renato Moicano, who has slotted in on short notice off the back of a submission victory over Alexander Hernandez just three weeks ago.

Moicano could be categorised as a dangerous if not skilled and technical fighter on his feet, but has some serious credentials on the ground, much similar to dos Anjos himself.

This one may start, and stay for a little while, on the feet, but don’t be surprised to see either fighter try to take this one to the ground at any moment.

With this one being on short notice at a catchweight of 160 lbs, the logical bet here is a dos Anjos victory.

Dos Anjos 4/7, Moicano 11/8

 

Edson Barboza (22-10) v Bryce Mitchell (14-0) – Featherweight

Former lightweight contender Edson Barboza returns to action to showcase some more of his unique striking ability.

Since moving down to featherweight, the Brazilian has gone 2-2, but may feel slightly hard done by regarding his split-decision loss to Dan Ige back in 2020.

A KO victory over Shane Burgos in May 2021 was quickly followed by a TKO loss to Giga Chikadze in August, leaving Barboza with just four wins in his last 10 UFC bouts.

As he faces Bryce Mitchell this weekend, that record may be set to get worse. It’s a step up in class for the American, having never faced a striker with the arsenal of Barboza, but it’s a step he looks very capable of making.

Mitchell by decision (9/4) could be the choice here.

Barboza 5/4, Mitchell 8/13

 

Kevin Holland (21-7) vs. Alex Oliveira (22-11-1) – Welterweight

Kevin Holland drops down to the welterweight division as he looks to get his UFC career back on the straight and narrow.

Up at middleweight, two losses to Derek Brunson and Marvin Vettori as well as a bout with Kyle Daukaus that ended in a No Contest in 2021 were in stark contrast to Holland’s 2020, where he won five on the bounce and made himself a contender for Fight of the Year.

Across the octagon is veteran Alex Oliveira, who’s had struggles of his own. The 34-year-old Brazilian ‘Cowboy’ comes into this one off the back of three straight losses.

While Holland will stick around if he loses, the same can’t be said for Oliveira, who may very well see himself cut with a loss here – and all logic says that’s what’s set to happen, so it’s Holland by KO/TKO (5/4).

Holland 2/7, Oliveira 5/2

 

Sergey Spivak (13-3) vs. Greg Hardy (7-4) – Heavyweight

It’s been a mixed bag for Greg Hardy since turning his hand to MMA after a professional football career.

Early signs were encouraging as he displayed legitimate power in the stand up, but two straight losses have killed his momentum and his progress as a fighter seems to have stalled.

For Spivak, a three fight win-streak was halted as he was brutally stopped by Brit Tom Aspinall last time out.

Hardy, while always dangerous on the feet, isn’t of the same calibre as the fighters Spivak has fallen short of in his UFC career.

And if he’s smart, he’ll use the former NFL players weaknesses against him, and look to go to the ground.

If you’re feeling brave you might want to take a look at Spivak by submission(16/5), but the safer bet here is a Spivak win.

Spivak 1/2, Hardy 13/8

Chris Coates

UFC 272 – Check out all of these bouts as well as the undercard odds HERE